This, I promise, is my last Oscars post for 2012. It’s the one where I compare my predictions to the results, although I can already tell you that I wouldn’t have won the million. The calculations are complicated by the fact that I made two sets of predictions, so I’m only counting the newer ones where I was specific, and not the one where I said “Hugo will win a load of technical categories”. On that basis, I accurately predicted the winners of eleven of the 24 categories, although if I wanted to be generous I could award myself an extra point for saying of the VFX category that I thought Hugo would win if the opening shot counted as a visual effect, and since awarding myself an extra point would give me a 50% hit rate, I think I’ll go ahead.
(Although I was so adamant that Woody wouldn’t win Original Screenplay that I almost think I should deduct another half-point.)
How did you do? Anyone win a million?
Full predictions and results in this attractive table, if you really don’t have anything better to do:
Category |
I said |
Then I said |
They gave it to |
Picture | Hugo | The Artist | The Artist |
Director | Malick | Hazanavicius | Hazanavicius |
Actor | Clooney | Dujardin | Dujardin |
Actress | Streep | Streep | Streep |
Supporting actor | Plummer | Plummer | Plummer |
Supporting actress | Bejo | Bejo | Spencer |
Animated feature | Chico and Rita | Chico and Rita | Rango |
Art direction | The Artist | The Artist | Hugo |
Cinematography | Tree of Life | Hugo | Hugo |
Costume design | The Artist | The Artist | The Artist |
Documentary feature | Pina | Pina | Undefeated |
Documentary short | The Barber of Birmingham | The Barber of Birmingham | Saving Face |
Film editing | The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo | The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo | The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo |
Foreign language | A Separation | A Separation | A Separation |
Make up | Harry Potter | Harry Potter | The Iron Lady |
Original score | War Horse | War Horse | The Artist |
Original song | The Muppets | The Muppets | The Muppets |
Animated short | La Luna | La Luna | The Fantastic Flying Books of Mister Morris Lessmore |
Live action short | Raju | Raju | The Shore |
Sound editing | Transformers | Transformers | Hugo |
Sound mixing | Transformers | Transformers | Hugo |
Visual effects | Harry Potter | Harry Potter | Hugo |
Adapted screenplay | The Descendants | The Descendants | The Descendants |
Original screenplay | The Artist | The Artist | Midnight in Paris |
gosh what a lot of work! and you did pretty well. I hadn’t even heard of half of them. Sorry about the dress poll though – should definitely have gone to Stacy.